Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.283954 2.413878 2.555001 2.721222 2.913778 3.132640 3.404559
2025-10-12 2.192976 2.364011 2.558755 2.801298 3.102178 3.473840 3.987605
2025-10-19 2.089064 2.279038 2.501735 2.789300 3.163195 3.654317 4.394847
2025-10-26 2.017091 2.221651 2.467191 2.794046 3.236953 3.853027 4.867782
2025-11-02 1.930498 2.138800 2.392535 2.736916 3.216462 3.910451 5.131404
2025-11-09 1.872393 2.086546 2.351280 2.717776 3.242917 4.036493 5.544627
2025-11-16 1.823456 2.042401 2.316600 2.703025 3.271545 4.167210 6.011363
2025-11-23 1.778140 2.000175 2.281315 2.683628 3.289436 4.280865 6.490123
2025-11-30 1.752084 1.980965 2.274633 2.702828 3.366715 4.508758 7.360031
2025-12-07 1.691000 1.913864 2.200576 2.620229 3.274825 4.412945 7.329219
2025-12-14 1.656251 1.879885 2.169734 2.598559 3.279063 4.499279 7.883390
2025-12-21 1.619800 1.842370 2.132427 2.565006 3.260453 4.537665 8.321151
2025-12-28 1.612454 1.843909 2.149855 2.615796 3.391454 4.914665 10.486339
2026-01-04 1.612776 1.855356 2.181157 2.689435 3.571461 5.458740 15.327477
2026-01-11 1.586924 1.830372 2.159630 2.678839 3.597154 5.645947 19.217457
2026-01-18 1.567293 1.813127 2.148292 2.683457 3.651642 5.926738 28.654880
2026-01-25 1.532179 1.773644 2.103423 2.631423 3.591418 5.874042 31.731379
2026-02-01 1.508893 1.749841 2.080523 2.614055 3.598016 6.019559 52.023113
2026-02-08 1.487955 1.728698 2.060733 2.600662 3.611167 6.191216 294.545773
2026-02-15 1.466850 1.706773 2.039051 2.582966 3.613831 6.333006 NaN
2026-02-22 1.456576 1.699565 2.038676 2.600666 3.691521 6.761211 NaN
2026-03-01 1.421443 1.656847 1.984436 2.524832 3.564385 6.417946 NaN
2026-03-08 1.402590 1.636659 1.963366 2.504927 3.556606 6.519810 NaN